Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.832704 19.123236 21.706488 24.854724 28.613607 32.990034 38.518480
2025-08-31 13.450170 16.248810 19.670605 24.225340 30.226534 38.005510 49.093917
2025-09-07 11.629450 14.626668 18.493791 23.963393 31.694016 42.544299 59.530545
2025-09-14 10.042987 13.002850 16.974282 22.851147 31.614952 44.709555 66.838318
2025-09-21 8.797265 11.653082 15.606017 21.673304 31.130352 46.027779 72.936443
2025-09-28 7.953297 10.753315 14.739624 21.066945 31.345419 48.374195 81.208220
2025-10-05 8.102919 11.270369 15.960154 23.766875 37.230268 61.269506 112.513742
2025-10-12 7.791477 11.064164 16.052119 24.657449 40.195436 69.626289 137.739590
2025-10-19 7.177033 10.336439 15.248197 23.934931 40.135830 72.153808 150.909447
2025-10-26 6.938815 10.170455 15.320877 24.720658 42.996646 81.185567 183.180469
2025-11-02 6.518511 9.677548 14.804801 24.383093 43.598940 85.506738 204.968294
2025-11-09 6.123865 9.195755 14.263340 23.931306 43.889586 89.178501 226.539275
2025-11-16 5.784470 8.796299 13.855521 23.738073 44.813115 94.881176 258.356111
2025-11-23 5.410477 8.313655 13.264103 23.127106 44.747376 98.181542 284.429851
2025-11-30 5.127685 7.965325 12.880857 22.881303 45.458605 103.711658 322.175090
2025-12-07 4.758439 7.443572 12.142388 21.832609 44.136295 103.353635 336.796175
2025-12-14 4.412118 6.942150 11.407279 20.721218 42.512156 101.801159 345.915308
2025-12-21 4.164933 6.601645 10.948572 20.148687 42.129735 103.865766 373.131737
2025-12-28 4.322063 6.990035 11.892370 22.696026 50.085450 134.423989 572.592773
2026-01-04 4.259859 6.974665 12.054577 23.535193 53.758521 152.602436 732.559727
2026-01-11 4.036953 6.648523 11.577920 22.854421 53.090444 154.975461 791.409824
2026-01-18 3.976516 6.622671 11.701284 23.594734 56.648834 174.844655 1015.101470
2026-01-25 3.814700 6.395315 11.397337 23.276728 57.015054 182.154205 1148.915555